Advertising revenues
Saturday, August 1st, 2009The economy in the U.S. is getting better for all of us but not for each of us.
That is the only conclusion that can be drawn from the upturn of the stock markets and signs of life in housing even as jobs continue to be lost. This is called a “jobless recovery,” where, according to Forbes, “…companies can increase production by investing in new technologies, and thus delay re-hiring people.” Real change may not come for “several years.”
The odd coupling of good-and-bad news has had an effect on consumer spending. Whether described as down or up, it is clearly lower and slower than we have come to measure as normal. It is natural for consumers to use a sharper pencil on expenses in the face of economic uncertainty.
But how should whole industries respond to a similar threat?
In recent weeks, we have seen reports from media companies — newspapers, magazine, broadcast and even online properties — that advertising revenues are off, way off. With their sharper pencils, many have still found a profit. It is axiomatic, though, that you can’t persistently cut your way to profitability.
As recently reported, “Gannett swung back to profitability in the second quarter, probably attributable, in part, to savings from numerous furloughs and layoffs nationwide. Still, the plunging ad revenues suggest there is scant hope of a near-term recovery for Gannett — or the newspaper business in general.”
It is ironic that at a time when newspapers are read by fewer people, people and newspapers face such a similar circumstance. With news that the Federal Reserve thinks unemployment will top 10 percent and that national advertisers, like Macy’s, have cut their spend in half, we may wind up with even more alike the less we have in common.